بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
من منطلق حبى للافاده والاستفاده اضع بين ايديكم شارت يوضح مسار السوق من الغد الى انتهاء الدوره الجديده القادمه وهو ليس تكهنات وانما هو مبنى على اسس علميه صحيحه .
المدة الزمنية المتوقعه للوصول للهدف ان شاء الله هي بحدود سنتين و نصف
انى على استعداد للرد فقط على اى استفسار فنى حول الشارت والمعذره لاهمالى اى رد لمدح او ذم سواء .
thank you again for your reply, and this is what I meant that you wouldnt assume only on a doji, or haramy or hanging man to to confirm to you a reversal of a pervious move but you confirmed it with the slow stochastic oscillator but also to have a stronger confirmation more oscillators to be used like MACD , ROC, RSI but with a hammer you would confirm a change of trend would be weak.
what I mean is that if the stock is in a long term downward trend, you don’t use the Hammer as an excuse to try to time the bottom or consider it as a reversal always trade with the trend also you could see an uptrend for a long time and suddenly u see a hammer does it meen the stock is going to go down and reverse, no u must confirm next day and see but it can continue up and shows u that the bulls are still in control.
thank you
اخى الكريم لن تخرج شمعة ديسمبر عن تلك الاشكال الاربعه التى وضحتها بالرسم ولا ادرى من قال لك بان شمعة المطرقه شمعه ضعيفه ……………………………….. يوجد ايضا شارت شهرى يوضح الستوتاتيك البطيىء وكيف ان شمعة ديسمبر هى اخر شمعه للموجه الخامسه اى c ويوجد احتمال كبير جدا للارتداد ويتبعها شهر يناير بارتفاع …………………..اما الشق الثانى فارجو ان توضح ماتريد على الشارت لافهم مااللذى تعنيه لاستطيع اجابتك على الشارت وان لم تقتنع للشق الاول فدع الايام هى التى تخبرنا.
ياخواني الدكاتره اكتبوا عربي وفكونا الله يهديكم
but it is too far to even consider it a support level, as you have a trend line with one bar connection and the 2nd bar is still not completeed till end of december to see iif it closes as you said in the form of a hammer
thank you again
thank you for your reply, but am sure you know very well that doji, harmy, or hammer all these are very very weak signals and we can not depend on them strongly especially after a stronge downtrend move we had that broke every single support wether strong or weak, so considering a hammer in a move and a big move like the one your talking about, I would find it very weak, but what about using other ocillators what are they giving you signals these need to be checked also , plus we just started the month of Dec and if you checked previous months on any index in the MENA region I don’t think you would see any change in pattern as they are all on a downtrend and showing lower lows, except one market which is Qatar index check the weekly chart if the last bar in qatar index the weekly one closes 50% higher han the 2 weeks big red bar then then expect a rreversal and we might have reached the bottom of the marketin Qatar
As for Dubai the best is to wait to see a reversal pattern and when it comes you go in other wise a good investment strategy is to sit and do nothing
As for the 2nd part of my question, I was talking about the support line you have on the index at the lower side of the chart, when u extend it from the the high to the low , your chart shows that ithe support line touched the middle candles, and when I checked on reuters and the candles in the middle are much higher than the supprtkine you drew,