سوق دبي و رحله العوده

29 thoughts on “سوق دبي و رحله العوده”

1. thanks for the comment , but surely i disagree with you ,, you are basing your comment on technical analyses which cant be applied in this extra ordinary situation .. the market fall down heavily breaking all supports points very easily driven with all investors fears etc. now its time to get back to previous index level and all supports will be also broken very easily Vs .. low volume traded can be seen asa good sign as although the market achieving limit up investors are not ready to sell with still low prices

   thank you for your comments, but sorry who was buying today even with low volumes was it real investors or someone lese, and I’m sure you agree it is givernment intervention. Iam not saying that the market is not going to go up it will for sure after the free fall we have seen, but this move is not sustainable that is to say it is not a move to depend on and say market have seen a bottom plus it isn’t easy to know the bottom, and we can start investing again without waiting for a better confirmation of an uptrent. Market must come down to confirm the bottom and then it can move grandually up with fresh money from investors and insistutions without 3rd party intervention, I have seen this happening before in Sauid Arabia years back and also this year, but after few days market goes back down again and more stronger, and then people start to remember what happened before and they start selling even more aggresively.
   What I’m trying to say that do not depend to much on a one day move after few weeks and months of stronge sell off in the market and lossing 50-60% and say thats it we are rebounding, let us wait and confirm the move, we can always bay shares they will never go away, but it is not always a right decision at the right time is taken

   This is my view and I could be right or wrong, but what I’m sure of is that I would be safer and my risk will be for sure less

2. we have been seeing for the past few weeks limit down and prices moving lower with big volumes, and today because you so limit up across the board you are saying it is a rebound, how can you say it is a rebound, sorry but to confirm a rebound it must build supports and strong supports and see at least for a whole week prices moving 5% minimum with big volumes, because supports and stronge supports were broken very easily plus how can you say it is a rebound with volumes today DHS 1.80 billion only if it was a rebound the volumes should be minimum DHS 3 billion especailly when stocks are limit up, and the same for Abu Dhabi volumes was only 500 million, if it was a rebound it should be at least 1.5 billion , what happened today is what is called the market is breathing after the selling pressure plus it is an opportunity to sell because prices has to fall back again and confirm a bottom and build supports that are stronge and then move higher so that it can break resistance on the way up, so wait and monitor carefully and draw your trend lines and give it time to confirm the uptrend before you say it is a rebound just because of one day only of positive day

   Plus the whole GCC marrkets moved higher with limit up all at the same time (STRANGE) except kuwait this was all beacuse of government intervention,mainly and not investors money or fresh money, did you all see or feel fresh money in the market, well I do not think so

   thanks for the comment , but surely i disagree with you ,, you are basing your comment on technical analyses which cant be applied in this extra ordinary situation .. the market fall down heavily breaking all supports points very easily driven with all investors fears etc. now its time to get back to previous index level and all supports will be also broken very easily Vs .. low volume traded can be seen asa good sign as although the market achieving limit up investors are not ready to sell with still low prices

3. اخى العزيز الموضوع طويل جدا بس باختصار :

   اسواقنا كان لازم ترتد حتى لو لم يرتد السوق الامريكى ,, الحاله النفسيه هى السبب الرئيسي و كما ذكرت الصفعات كانت قويه و لم تعطى احد لاخذ الانفاس و استيعاب ما يحصل

   if i remember when the good news was announced in UAE Emaar closed limit down at 5.13 and today limit up

   we all know that nothing will happen to clients deposits with UAE banks, because the government will not allow it what so ever and we all know that the economy is stronge and nothing will effect it, and the connection with the USA markets was made due to foreign investments in the stockmarket made this connection, and after today when Europe and the USA is up to due to becoming very close to solve their issues regarding the credit crunch, I guess the connection will be less with the USA & Europe markets

   All what I’m trying to say don’t let a one day positive move be a reason for a life time decision that could be wrong and also could be right but the risk of being right is very high, JUST BECAREFUL and limit your profits

4. اخى العزيز الموضوع طويل جدا بس باختصار :

   سؤال يا اخي العزيز
   البارحه لمت داون
   واليوم لمت أب؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟؟

   شو الي تغير في اقل من 24 ساعه
   
   اللى حصل :
   السوق وصل مرحله الانعاش
   تصريحات رئيس الدوله مهمه جدا لرفع معنويات المستثمرين
   و اسباب عديده رح اذكرها لاحقا
   الاقتصاد هو نفس الاقتصاد

   الاقتصاد ما تغر بس الناس تغيرت لو تتابع التصريحات كلها ,, الكل بتكلم عن الحاله النفسيه السيئه و الخوف من قبل المستثمرين
   ضمان الودائع موضوع يخص البنوك بالدرجه الاولى ….
   
   ضمان الودائع يمكن اهم موضوع اثر على البورصه لانه حتى الدول الاوربيه الى ضمنت الودائع ضمنتها ضمن حدود معينه فقط و الامارات هى الوحيده الى ضمنت الودائع بدون حدود .. يعنى بتشوف هجره لاصحاب الاموال لدبي ان شاء الله خلال فتره بسيطه .. يعنى سيوله ضخمه لدى البنوك رح تنعش جميع القطاعات مو بس الاسهم

   وهل كانت خايفه على الودائع اصلا؟؟؟؟؟
   
   نعم في ناس فعلا خافت على فلوسها لدى البنوك .. انا سألت احد اعضاء مجلس الاداره بالمجموعه التى اعمل بها من يومين هل ما زال يملك اسهم بالسوق ابتسم و قال و لا حتى بالبنك و اشر على جيبه و قال هنا اضمن شى الآن مع العلم ان البنك لنفس المجموعه .. طبعا قال ذلك من باب المداعبه لكن كان يقصد الوضع بشكل عام و الخوف المسيطر على الكل

   حتى بعد تصريحات الشيخ محمد بن راشد يوم الخميس والجمعه

   ثاني يوم نزل السوق لمت داون؟؟؟؟؟؟
   
   التصريحات اثرت طبعا بشكل ايجابى بعد ان تراكمت الاسباب االاخرى اعلاه لان حاله الخوف ما كانت بسيطه عند الكل

   انزين لو كانت اسباب الارتفاع الي تقول عنها خاصه بسوق الدوله
   
   انا ما قصدت سوق الدوله بس ,, انا عممت لجميع الاسواق لكن سوق الدوله بيشهد اكبر ارتفاعات لتعويض الخسائر الى كانت تفوق الاسواق الاخرى

   ليش السوق السعودي ارتفع والسوق القطري واسواق العالم كلها؟؟؟
   
   نفس النقطه السابقه

   احنا ارتفعنا لان السوق العالمي ارتفع فقط وهذا الشئ الواضح
   
   نعم السوق العالمى مؤثر قوى مو بس على اسواقنا لكن على جميع اسواق العالم .. بس هذا على المدى القريب فقط لاننا تلقينا الصفعات بقوه و بشكل يومى و لم نتمكن من اخذ اى نفس و العالم صابها حاله هستيريا من الخوف .. لكن اكيد على المدى المتوسط اسوقنا كان لازمم ترتد و بقوه لاننا كما قلت بجميع مشاركاتى السابقه نحن غير معنيين بالازمه العالميه و اذا تاثرنا فلم نتاثر ياكثر من 5% و لا يوجد سبب لهذا الانهيار الذى حصل

   وعشان اكون صادق اكثر معاك لو كان السوق العالمي ما ارتفع

   فكل الاسباب السابقه كانت فقط ستمنع

   انهيار السوق وليس شرط الارتفاع والارتداد.

   سوقنا تابع للسوق الامريكي والعالمي

   لاننا نحن الذي عشنا هذه الكذبه والاعلام ثبتها في اذهان الكل.

   لاحول ولا قوه الا بالله

   اسواقنا كان لازم ترتد حتى لو لم يرتد السوق الامريكى ,, الحاله النفسيه هى السبب الرئيسي و كما ذكرت الصفعات كانت قويه و لم تعطى احد لاخذ الانفاس و استيعاب ما يحصل

5. ان شاء الله أخضر

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